The Manifest

Predict Responsibly

Prediction markets are becoming a meaningful part of how people interpret information, express beliefs, and manage uncertainty. As participation grows, so does the responsibility to ensure that these markets remain understandable, fair, and resilient.

PredictResponsibly.com is a global initiative dedicated to establishing the education standard for prediction markets. We exist to prevent heavy-handed regulation through proactive industry self-governance and to build shared standards that users can trust and platforms can adopt.

Our Principles

• Integrity First – Markets should operate without manipulation, hidden incentives, or opaque mechanics.
• Clear Disclosures – Fees, spreads, risks, and settlement rules should be visible and understandable.
• User Protection – Platforms should actively reduce the risk of harm through safer defaults and effective safeguards.
• Data Privacy – User data should be collected deliberately, protected rigorously, and used only where it adds real value.
• Compliance Ready – Responsible platforms design for regulatory evolution, not retrofitting.